Sunday, December 31, 2017

Texas Politics 2018 US House

In the range of possible Dem pickups, I'm considering any seat in which the Republican did not win by more than 60%. This is the Trump effect. There are two honorable mentions. 27 held by Blake Fahrenthold, who will not be running again due to "me too" issues. Also, 32, which did not have a Democratic in the race in 2016 but that HRC outperformed Trump. This woke the DCCC who will be investing in this race.  Of course, the Trump effect is probably not as strong as the Texas Democratic Party effect.

US- House Seat 2016 - R % 2016 - D % Incumbent
6 58.3 39 Joe Barton
7 56.2 43.8 John Culberson
21 59 41 Lamar Smith
22 59.5 40.5 Pete Olson
23 48.3 47 Will Hurd
24 56.2 39.3 Kenny Marchant
25 58.3 37.7 Roger Williams
27 61.7 38.3 Blake Farenthold
31 58.4 36.5 John Carter
32 71.1 0 Pete Sessions

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